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Permalink Reply by Buffalo on April 8, 2010 at 2:00pm
Permalink Reply by george palmer on April 8, 2010 at 4:29pm I think in the US short scale a quadrillion is actually a thousand trillion so even the massive increase in US debt will probably never reach numbers like that barring a complete financial and currency meltdown. If the US dollar ever goes the way of the Zimbabwe currency we could see it in a matter of months or less, in which case gold would probably be valued in the hundreds of thousands of US dollars per ounce.
Most of the US debt increase estimates I have seen say we will easily exceed $20 trillion in debt this decade and some estimates are actually considerably higher than that. I have yet to see any credible explanation of how we will repay this debt, and we continue to add huge amounts to it. I think we face a very real risk of the cost of borrowing increasing to the point where it is just not possible to do much more than pay the costs and not be able to pay the actual debt. At that point the only option may be a US default, which would likely cause repercussions that would make the world's financial woes for the last couple of years look like the good old days.
Permalink Reply by Steve W on April 8, 2010 at 5:17pm I think in the US short scale a quadrillion is actually a thousand trillion so even the massive increase in US debt will probably never reach numbers like that barring a complete financial and currency meltdown. If the US dollar ever goes the way of the Zimbabwe currency we could see it in a matter of months or less, in which case gold would probably be valued in the hundreds of thousands of US dollars per ounce.
Most of the US debt increase estimates I have seen say we will easily exceed $20 trillion in debt this decade and some estimates are actually considerably higher than that. I have yet to see any credible explanation of how we will repay this debt, and we continue to add huge amounts to it. I think we face a very real risk of the cost of borrowing increasing to the point where it is just not possible to do much more than pay the costs and not be able to pay the actual debt. At that point the only option may be a US default, which would likely cause repercussions that would make the world's financial woes for the last couple of years look like the good old days.
Permalink Reply by Buffalo on April 8, 2010 at 8:02pm
Permalink Reply by Lureuin on April 8, 2010 at 9:59pm I think in the US short scale a quadrillion is actually a thousand trillion so even the massive increase in US debt will probably never reach numbers like that barring a complete financial and currency meltdown. If the US dollar ever goes the way of the Zimbabwe currency we could see it in a matter of months or less, in which case gold would probably be valued in the hundreds of thousands of US dollars per ounce.
Most of the US debt increase estimates I have seen say we will easily exceed $20 trillion in debt this decade and some estimates are actually considerably higher than that. I have yet to see any credible explanation of how we will repay this debt, and we continue to add huge amounts to it. I think we face a very real risk of the cost of borrowing increasing to the point where it is just not possible to do much more than pay the costs and not be able to pay the actual debt. At that point the only option may be a US default, which would likely cause repercussions that would make the world's financial woes for the last couple of years look like the good old days.
Permalink Reply by Steve W on April 8, 2010 at 11:33pm I hope you're right Steve and that sanity does prevail, or at least put in an appearance. Even if it does, I still wonder how long it will take the US to climb out from the $14+ trillion hole, or if we wait a few more years and continue as we are, the $20+ trillion version of it?
I still doubt that the political will to do what needs to be done will exist until the American people demand it. The politicians by and large are afraid of upsetting the voters and being voted out at the next election. Because of this "business as usual" is likely to continue until it is no longer accepted by the majority of the people, and when or even if that will happen is anyone's guess. I hope it does, and before its too late and the economic Armageddon can no longer be avoided.
Permalink Reply by Buffalo on April 9, 2010 at 1:08am
Permalink Reply by Steve W on April 9, 2010 at 8:40am Steve, I think we are pretty much in agreement about the nature of the problem and what needs to be done to solve it. It is the details of how to accomplish the solution that escape me. We need to spend less, tax more, and balance the budget, and repay trillions of dollars in debt, all while growing the economy, creating jobs, rebuilding infrastructure, etc, etc, etc. I won't say all of those things can't be done, but I really don't see the leadership of an Economic Churchill on the political horizon and I don't see a general public really committed to what needs to be done. What concrete fact(s) can anyone point to right now that says the long term problems facing the US economy will be fixed? Can the US economy even be "fixed" as a separate entity from the world economy nowadays, or are they so interconnected that's no longer possible?
I didn't know the details about the UK health care in WWII, but my Mother was English and served as an ambulance driver in the English "Land Army" during WWII in Leeds, where she met my Father who was in the US Air Force. Growing up I heard many stories of those times in England, food rationing, bombs falling, etc. They were dire times, and Churchill was well respected in my house, and my Mother even had a small bust of him she displayed for the rest of her life. Our situation pales in comparison to what the British people and many others endured during WWII, but we could certainly use a leader with the ability to unite people to work together for the common good again.
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